Before we get to our weekly TidBits, let’s take a look at Insurance … what it is, what it is not, and why most of us willingly purchase it.
Fire insurance, for example, works by sharing the risk of a fire among hundreds of homeowners. In effect, if one house burns down, the rest of us have already put aside enough money to rebuild it.
It’s a kind of voluntary socialism … we freely collectivize the risk of a house fire or other catastrophe.
But just because we have fire insurance, most people don’t leave a can of gasoline on the kitchen stove. We know it would be a big pain to replace the house and its contents – even if we were made whole financially. That’s why it works, because it doesn’t change human behavior. So, actuaries can calculate the odds of a fire fairly accurately.
But suppose we were guaranteed health care … or a comfortable retirement … no matter what we did? Wouldn’t we at least be tempted to live a little? To take chances? To spend a bit more?
And wouldn’t the whole economy change as a result?
For the last 50 years – or more – we have been taking part in a vast experiment. What will happen as more and more risks and costs are forcibly socialized?
We already saw what happened in the mortgage market. Bankers used to take their risks one by one. If they thought a home buyer was a good credit risk, they lent him money. Sometimes they were right. Sometimes they were wrong. Being wrong from time to time hurt profits but was just a cost of doing business.
Then the financial industry collectivized the risk. Bankers lent, earned a fee for originating the loan, and then sold the mortgage on to Wall Street, where it was securitized, packaged and resold. What were the consequences of a bad loan to the local banker? None!
Once they learned they made money by originating loans and didn’t lose money from bad loans, mortgage lenders stopped worrying about individual risks. They changed their behavior and stopped using their own good judgment. All they wanted was to close the deal, collect their fees, and move the paper on. Soon, they were lending without asking troubling questions … like, “Can you repay this?”
Home buyers changed their behavior too. Easy mortgage credit pushed up demand for new homes … which pushed up home prices. It was a great party while it lasted! Unfortunately, a couple of years ago, the whole thing fell apart.
Then the feds stepped in and collectivize the risk even further. Now, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are arms of the US Federal Government. And we’re all partners in the insurance company! Now, when uninsured houses “burn down”, WE ALL are forced to pay.
Just like the Wall Street bankers have learned … they can get a bailout from Washington even if they knowingly invest in risky or ill-advised ventures.
We’ve seen what happens when government collectivized other parts of the financial system, too. People collect Social Security whether they have saved for their retirement or not. And we get unemployment compensation whether we have saved for a rainy day or not. And we get food stamps whether we try to find a job or not.
With guaranteed issue health insurance, your editor has heard of some who have calculated it will be less expensive to go without insurance, pay the annual penalty, pay for routine exams, and wait for a catastrophic illness or accident. If one learns they have, say, cancer, then they will contact an insurance provider, get coverage and then go to the hospital. What a deal! Will this new health plan work … we doubt it.
How about that? The feds have spread the risk around so much that we all pay for everybody else’s mistakes.
Now for the Weekly TidBits:
* Pew Research released a new poll. Overall, 38% of Americans view the term “Libertarian” favorably compared to 37% who view it unfavorably. Democrats (39-37) and independents (44-32) view the term most favorably, while Republicans view it negatively by a 13-point (31-44) margin. View the data here.
* It’s interesting to contrast the passage of the controversial bill in Arizona with the fact that for the first time ever, more people are leaving the US than entering. And those choosing to renounce their US citizenship is also increasing rapidly. The increase – from a rate of 235 last year to what could be over 2,000 this year – is enough to raise a nationalistic eyebrow or two.
* At the beginning of the 20th century government expenses consumed a relatively modest 7% of the nation’s entire economic activity. Today they account for almost 45% of the whole. Even as recently as 1950, total government expenses – including pensions, health care, education, national defense, welfare and all other spending – were still in the vicinity of $70 billion, or roughly 25% of the nation’s GDP. Just two decades later, that number had more than tripled (in nominal terms) to $322 billion, or around one third of the nation’s GDP. We’re in need of a Libertarian shift!










